Numbers

Soaked going in, playing with spreadsheets in the morning, boggling people's minds about how to build big complex formulas and then some pottering with election numbers. Mainly a colleague's work, calculating which seats the SNP might not win depending on what you assume will be the impact of lower turnout (polls suggest over 80% but even though it'll be higher than 2010 or 2011, it won't be 80%) and tactical voting (which won't be uniform so is hard to figure into a straight % share to seats calculation). But it doesn't need to be accurate. It's not going anywhere. It's for late night amusement and to show if the parties are doing as well / badly as expected. 

There's nothing to be read into a big black cloud hanging over one of the poorest parts of Edinburgh.